A team that didn't make the playoffs the last year usually makes the playoffs the next year. I think that team is the Cardinals. Despite losing their ace Adam Wainright, the Cardinals still have a very deep rotation. They also have one of the better offences in the NL because, other than the Phillies, there are very few elite offensive teams in the National League. I think they will finish fourth in that category, behind the Phillies, the Brewers, and the Rockies. Albert Pujols and Matt Holiday solidify that lineup. Colby Rasmus should also hit well for them. Ryan Theriot at the top of their lineup should provide a boost. They also have a solid bullpen, and in a weaker division, the best team only won 85 games last year, they should have little trouble making the playoffs. Then again, that's what they said last year...
I believe Evan Longoria will win the AL MVP. He has had some solid seasons and has proven he is an elite player. Even if the Rays don't make the playoffs, he will keep them in contention and will have a strong season. Jon Lester of the Red Sox will win the Cy Young as the Red Sox will rebound and he will be at the forefront. Buster Posey will win the NL MVP because of his success last year and he will be one of the few hitters in a pitching heavy Giants team. Zack Greinke will win the NL Cy Young. Because he will miss the early parts of the season, his superior numbers later on will stand out more.